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SEC tournament seeding scenarios

By Blake DuDonis

GREENVILLE, SC - MARCH 05: South Carolina head coach Dawn Staley greets Mississippi St head coach Vic Schaefer prior to 1st half action in the 2017 SEC Championship game between the South Carolina Gamecocks and the Mississippi State Bulldogs on March 05, 2017 at Bon Secours Wellness Arena in Greenville, SC. (Photo by Doug Buffington/Icon Sportswire via Getty Images)
GREENVILLE, SC - MARCH 05: South Carolina head coach Dawn Staley greets Mississippi St head coach Vic Schaefer prior to 1st half action in the 2017 SEC Championship game between the South Carolina Gamecocks and the Mississippi State Bulldogs on March 05, 2017 at Bon Secours Wellness Arena in Greenville, SC. (Photo by Doug Buffington/Icon Sportswire via Getty Images) /
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KNOXVILLE, TN – FEBRUARY 15: Tennessee Lady Volunteers guard Anastasia Hayes (1) congratulates center Mercedes Russell (21) on breaking 1500 points for her career during a game between the Tennessee Lady Volunteers and Alabama Crimson Tide on February 15, 2018, at Thompson-Boling Arena in Knoxville, TN. (Photo by Bryan Lynn/Icon Sportswire via Getty Images)
KNOXVILLE, TN – FEBRUARY 15: Tennessee Lady Volunteers guard Anastasia Hayes (1) congratulates center Mercedes Russell (21) on breaking 1500 points for her career during a game between the Tennessee Lady Volunteers and Alabama Crimson Tide on February 15, 2018, at Thompson-Boling Arena in Knoxville, TN. (Photo by Bryan Lynn/Icon Sportswire via Getty Images) /

Okay, now we’ve now reached the complicated portion. There a few situations that if a certain team wins, the seeding is easy. If things get wild, as the SEC is prone to do, then that is another story entirely.

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South Carolina is the 2 seed if…
 A)They beat Tennessee
B) Missouri loses
C) If they lose, then Georgia AND Missouri wins (This would create a three-way tie. The records of those three between each other are: SC 2-1, UGA 1-1, Mizzou 1-2)
D)They lose, Mizzou wins, AND either Georgia or LSU finishes in 4th place

South Carolina is the 3 seed if…
 They lose to Tennessee and Mizzou wins, AND Tennessee finishes in 4th place.

—

Georgia is the 3 seed if…
 A) They win, Mizzou wins (UGA has head-to-head tiebreaker with Mizzou)
 B) They win, USC loses and Mizzou wins (This would create a three-way tie. The records of those three between each other are: SC 2-1, UGA 1-1, Mizzou 1-2)
C) They lose, Mizzou loses, LSU wins (This would create a four-way tie. The records of the four teams tied between each other would be: UGA 2-1, TN 2-2, A&M 2-2, Mizzou 1-2)
D) They lose, Mizzou, LSU and Tenn all lose (This would create a three-way tie. The records of the three teams tied between each other would be: UGA 2-0, A&M 1-1, Mizzou 0-2)

Georgia is the 4 seed if… (all scenarios from here on about UGA is assuming they lose to UF)
A) Mizzou loses, LSU wins and Tenn. wins (This would create a five-way tie. The records of those five teams tied between each other would be: LSU 4-1, UGA 2-2, A&M 3-3, TN 2-3, Miz 1-3. In this scenario, UGA and A&M would be tied with a .500 record, but UGA owns the head-to-head tie breaker)
B) Mizzou wins, then LSU and Tenn. both lose
C) Mizzou, LSU and Tenn all lose (This would create a three-way tie. The records of those teams tied between each other would be: UGA 2-0, A&M 1-1, Miz 0-2)
D) LSU and A&M win ( This would create a four-way tie. The records of those teams tied between each other would be: LSU 3-1, UGA 2-1, A&M 2-2, Miz 0-3)

Georgia is the 5 seed if…
 A) LSU, Mizzou win, Tenn loses (LSU owns the head-to-head tiebreaker with UGA)
B) Mizzou wins, LSU wins, Tenn. wins (This would create a three-way tie. The records of those teams tied between each other would be: LSU 2-0, TN 1-1, UGA 0-2)

—

Missouri is the 2 seed if…
 A) They win, South Carolina loses and Tennessee finishes in 4th place

Missouri is the 3 seed if…
 A) They win, Georgia loses

Missouri is the 4 seed if…
 A) They win, Georgia wins, LSU and Tenn lose (UGA owns the head-to-head tiebreaker with Mizzou)
B) They win, Georgia wins, USC loses (This would create a three-way tie. The records of those teams tied between each other would be: USC 2-1, UGA 1-1, Miz 1-2)

Missouri is the 5 seed if… (all scenarios from here on about Mizzou are assuming they lose to A&M)
 A) UGA wins, LSU and TN lose (A&M would own the head-to-head tiebreaker)

Missouri is the 6 seed if…
 A) UGA wins, LSU wins, Tenn loses (This would create a three-way tie. The records of those teams tied between each other would be: LSU 2-0, A&M 2-1, Miz 0-2)
B) UGA, LSU and TN win (This would create a four-way tie. The records of those teams tied between each other would be: LSU 3-1, A&M 3-2, Miz 1-2, TN 1-3)
C) UGA loses, LSU wins, Tenn loses (This would create a four-way tie. The records of those teams tied between each other would be: LSU 3-1, UGA 2-1, A&M 2-2, Miz 0-3)
D) UGA loses, LSU loses, Tenn win (This would create a four-way tie. The records of those teams tied between each other would be: UGA 2-1, TN 2-2, A&M 2-2, Miz 1-2)

Missouri is the 7 seed if…
 A) UGA loses, LSU and Tenn win (This would create a five-way tie. The records of those teams tied between each other would be: LSU 4-1, UGA 2-2, A&M 2-2, TN 2-3, Miz 1-3)

—

LSU is the 3 seed if…
 A) They win, UGA, Mizzou and TN lose (This would create a four-way tie. The records of those teams tied between each other would be: LSU 3-1, UGA 2-1, A&M 2-2, Miz 0-3)
B) They win, UGA and Mizzou lose, TN wins (This would create a five-way tie. The records of those teams tied between each other would be: LSU 4-1, UGA 2-2, A&M 2-2, TN 2-3, Miz 1-3)

LSU is the 4 seed if…
 A) They win, UGA wins, Mizzou and TN loses (This would create a three-way tie. The records of those teams tied between each other would be: LSU 2-0, A&M 2-1, Miz 0-2)
B) They win, Mizzou wins, TN wins and UGA loses (This would create a three-way tie. The records of those teams tied between each other would be: LSU 2-0, TN 1-1, UGA 0-2)
B) They win, UGA, A&M and TN win (This would create a four-way tie. The records of those teams tied between each other would be: LSU 3-1, A&M 3-2, Miz 1-2, TN 1-3)

LSU is the 5 seed if…
 A) They win, UGA, Mizzou and TN wins (LSU holds the head-to-head tiebreaker with TN)

LSU is the 6 seed if… (all scenarios from here on about LSU are assuming they lose to Alabama)
 A) UGA, Mizzou and TN win (LSU and A&M split their meetings, so in this scenario, you must take the best winning percentage of them against top teams. They both lost to #1 MSU and #2 USC, but LSU beat #3 UGA so they would win this tiebreaker)

—

Tennessee is the 4 seed if…
 A) They win, A&M wins, UGA and LSU loses (This would create a four-way tie. The records of those teams tied between each other would be: UGA 2-1, TN 2-2, A&M 2-2, Miz 1-2. Since TN and A&M have the same record, and they split against each other, you must take the best winning percentage of them against top teams. They both lost to #1 MSU but TN beat #2 USC so they would win that tiebreaker)
B) They win, Mizzou wins, UGA and LSU lose (This would create a three-way tie. The records of those teams tied between each other would be: LSU 2-0, TN 1-1, UGA 0-2)

Tennessee is the 5 seed if…
 A) They win, UGA and Mizzou win, and LSU loses

Tennessee is the 6 seed if…
 A) They win, A&M and LSU win, UGA loses (This would create a five-way tie. The records of those teams tied between each other would be: LSU 4-1, UGA 2-2, A&M 3-3, TN 2-3, Miz 1-3)
B) They win, UGA, Mizzou and LSU win (LSU owns the head-to-head tiebreaker over TN)

Tennessee is the 7 seed if…
 A) They win, UGA, LSU and A&M win (This would create a four-way tie. The records of those teams tied between each other would be: LSU 3-1, A&M 3-2, Miz 1-2, TN 1-3)
B) They lose, UGA and Mizzou wins, LSU loses (This would create a three-way tie. The records of those teams tied between each other would be: LSU 2-1, A&M 2-2, TN 1-2)

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Texas A&M is the 4 seed if…
 A) They win, UGA wins, LSU and TN lose (A&M would then own the head-to-head tiebreaker over Mizzou
B) They win, UGA, LSU and TN lose (This would create a three-way tie. The records of those teams tied between each other would be: UGA 2-0, A&M 1-1, Miz 0-2)

Texas A&M is the 5 seed if…
 A) They win, LSU and TN win, UGA loses (This would create a five-way tie. The records of those five teams tied between each other would be: LSU 4-1, UGA 2-2, A&M 3-3, TN 2-3, Miz 1-3. In this scenario, UGA and A&M would be tied with a .500 record, but UGA owns the head-to-head tie breaker)
B) They win, UGA, LSU wins, TN loses (This would create a three-way tie. The records of those five teams tied between each other would be: LSU 2-0, A&M 1-1, Miz 0-2)
C) They win, LSU wins, UGA loses (This would create a four-way tie. The records of those five teams tied between each other would be: LSU 3-1, UGA 2-1, A&M 2-2, Miz 0-3)
D) They win, TN wins, LSU and UGA lose (This would create a four-way tie. The records of those five teams tied between each other would be: UGA 2-1, TN 2-2, A&M 2-2, Miz 1-2. Since TN and A&M have the same record, and they split against each other, you must take the best winning percentage of them against top teams. They both lost to #1 MSU but TN beat #2 USC so they would win that tiebreaker)

Texas A&M is the 6 seed if…
 A) They lose, UGA wins, LSU and TN lose (This would create a three-way tie. The records of those teams tied between each other would be: LSU 2-1, A&M 2-2, TN 1-2)

Texas A&M is the 7 seed if…
 A) They lose, UGA wins, LSU and TN wins

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