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SEC tournament seeding scenarios

By Blake DuDonis

GREENVILLE, SC - MARCH 05: South Carolina head coach Dawn Staley greets Mississippi St head coach Vic Schaefer prior to 1st half action in the 2017 SEC Championship game between the South Carolina Gamecocks and the Mississippi State Bulldogs on March 05, 2017 at Bon Secours Wellness Arena in Greenville, SC. (Photo by Doug Buffington/Icon Sportswire via Getty Images)
GREENVILLE, SC - MARCH 05: South Carolina head coach Dawn Staley greets Mississippi St head coach Vic Schaefer prior to 1st half action in the 2017 SEC Championship game between the South Carolina Gamecocks and the Mississippi State Bulldogs on March 05, 2017 at Bon Secours Wellness Arena in Greenville, SC. (Photo by Doug Buffington/Icon Sportswire via Getty Images) /
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GREENVILLE, SC – MARCH 02: Auburn guard Janiah McKay (33) dribbles up the court during 1st half action between the Auburn Tigers and the Georgia Bulldogs on March 02, 2017 at Bon Secours Wellness Arena in Greenville, SC. (Photo by Doug Buffington/Icon Sportswire via Getty Images)
GREENVILLE, SC – MARCH 02: Auburn guard Janiah McKay (33) dribbles up the court during 1st half action between the Auburn Tigers and the Georgia Bulldogs on March 02, 2017 at Bon Secours Wellness Arena in Greenville, SC. (Photo by Doug Buffington/Icon Sportswire via Getty Images) /

Now we begin the always fun “what if” section of our journey. It actually isn’t super complicated down here, but there a a few different scenarios at play.

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Vanderbilt is the 13 seed if…
 They lose to Arkansas. Simple enough.

 Vanderbilt is the 12 seed if…
 They beat Arkansas. See, this is easy!

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Arkansas is the 13 seed if…
They lose to Vandy.

Arkansas is the 11 seed if…
They beat Vandy and Florida loses to Georgia.

Arkansas is the 10 seed if…
They beat Vandy and Auburn loses to Ole Miss (Arkansas owns head-to-head tiebreaker with Auburn).

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Florida is the 12 seed if…
They lose to Georgia and Arkansas beats Vandy.

Florida is the 11 seed if…
Vandy beats Arkansas. If that happens, Florida finishes 11 regardless of their game because:
A) If they win and Auburn loses, those two teams are tied and Auburn owns the head-to-head
B) If they lose, it would create a three-way tie between them, Vandy and Arkansas. The records of those three between each other are: FL 2-0, Vandy 1-1, Arkansas 0-2, so Florida wins that tiebreaker.

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Auburn is the 11 seed if…
They lose to Ole Miss and Arkansas beats Vandy (Arkansas owns head-to-head tiebreaker with Auburn).

Auburn is the 10 seed if…
They beat Ole Miss… OR Arkansas loses to Vandy (Auburn owns tiebreaker with Florida).

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