Indiana Fever (+12, -110)
Connecticut Sun (-12, -110)
Total: 167
Anything can happen, but you have to wonder if the Fever’s playoff chances are small enough that tanking a bit might be the best approach with a loaded WNBA draft coming up. They have lost three straight and eight of their last nine and while their defense has improved ever so slightly, their offense has really betrayed them. During their current three game skid, the Fever are ranked next to last in both offensive and defensive rating, and they also are the worst rebounding team in the league. Candice Dupree was a deserving All-Star this year averaging 13.8 PPG and 5.3 RPG, but when your leading scorer is only putting in that many a game, your offensive is always going to be an issue. The team has fought admirably but I think its time to shut it down a bit and get a high pick in the draft.
Connecticut saw their trip to Washington D.C. on Friday turn into a one-night vacation instead of a game day when the roof of the Verizon Center leaked so much that the game was postponed to a later date. Regardless, the Sun have looked fantastic this season and will make the playoffs for the first time since 2012 when they lost in the Conference Finals with current Mystics coach Mike Thibault at the helm. Jonquel Jones has made a huge jump this season and will win the Most Improved Player of the Year award, all while turning into one of the best post players in the league (not to mention throwing down this jam in the All-Star game). Curt Miller and his staff have done a great job with a young team (nobody on the team has played more than five seasons in the league) and this is a squad nobody wants to see come playoff time. One of the best teams in terms of rebounding percentage and the very best in three-point shooting, the Sun are as dangerous as anyone.
12 is a big point spread that really worries me, especially because the Fever have played some solid teams closely as of late. That being said, I’m still going to go with the Sun and the under.