Atlanta Dream (+3, -110)
Connecticut Sun (-3, -110)
Total: 155.5
I believe that Atlanta’s streak of five straight games holding opposition to under 80 points is the most underrated stat that nobody is talking about anywhere in the league. Two of those occasions came against the Chicago Sky and San Antonio Stars, but the other three were against LA, Washington and New York, all elite foes.
As has been stated before, this team’s ultimate success is going to come down to whether or not they can score the ball. The league’s worst shooting team from the field and from three, Atlanta acknowledged those deficiencies by acquiring Jordan Hooper from Connecticut for a second round pick. Hooper, a career 33.5% shooting from deep, isn’t someone who is going to set the world on fire scoring-wise (her career high in point per games for a season is 5.8) but 73% of her shots for her career have been from three, so she isn’t afraid to let it fly.
It’s been a full week since we last saw the Sun in action when they registered a 85-77 victory over San Antonio. That game featured one of the more random double-doubles of the season when Courtney Williams scored a career high 23 points and pulled down 10 rebounds. Rebounding is something that everyone seems to know Connecticut is good at doing, thanks mostly to Jonquel Jones who leads the WNBA with 12.6 per game, but they are also the surprising leaders in three point percentage. Jones, Morgan Tuck, Jasmine Thomas, Shekinna Stricklen and Williams are all shooting at least 50% from deep. Owners of the third lowest turnover percentage too, the Sun should be much better than their current 2-5 record indicates, and you have to figure the wins will start coming.
It’s hard to imagine this game not being close, and you could really pick either team here. I believe the Sun are due, so give me them and the under.