Dallas Wings (+3.5, -110)
Indiana Fever (-3.5, -110)
Total: 164
Where have I seen Dallas as a 3.5 point underdog before? Oh, right, last night against New York. I promise I’m not (that) bitter. The Dallas offense was good enough to win, but their defense and rebounding let them down again. The Liberty shot 50% from the field and out rebounded the Wings 44-28, a recipe for disaster. I do think the return of Aerial Powers will provide this team a huge boost on both ends of the court, but its expected that she will still be out for at least 2 more weeks. In the meantime, there has to be some consistency for the Wings. Skylar Diggins-Smith and Allisha Gray are proving to be useful every night, and while the 18 points from Theresa Plaisance last night were great, that followed a three game stretch where she scored 16 points combine, a trait not just owned by Plaisance but the whole team.
The last time the Fever took the court, it was in Dallas and they got run out of the gym. In the 89-62 loss, Indiana did about everything wrong you could. 35.5% shooting from the field, 17 turnovers and -12 on the boards all contributed to the struggles for Indiana. The good news is that they have had several days off to focus on Dallas, and hopefully they improved on defensive, as they own the worst defensive rating in the league. This team is searching for some consistent play on offense as well, and if two or three players can put together a solid game at the same time, the Fever are a sneaky team.
The two teams that cause me the most headaches in the league, this is a coin flip for me. Indiana is fresh and played Dallas in their last game; combine that with being at home and I’ll give them the edge (though my confidence level is about 1% for either team). Indiana covers and I’ll go with the under.